The long fight is over for follow-on biologic (FOBs). The Senate-passed version of health reform will become law, even while the larger fight continues over the reconciliation package. Within 10 days, FDA will be busy implementing an approval pathway for FOBs.

The world of biopharmaceuticals will never be the same, but not in the ways that many players expect. Here is FDA Matters’ guide to understanding the next phase.

Laws set the rules, but what happens next is remarkably dynamic and unpredictable. I was one of the Senate negotiators on the Patent Term Restoration and Drug Price Competition Act (Hatch-Waxman) and the Orphan Drug Act (ODA). What we thought would happen…and what actually happened…were not the same. Not necessarily better or worse. Just different.

We thought Hatch-Waxman would create an orderly world of patent extensions and generic approvals. We could not imagine the scandal in the generic drug office a few years later and would have been astounded that companies might still be litigating ground rules 25 years later.

The ODA was a triumph of good intentions, but would not have worked without the subsequent amendment redefining orphan drugs as affecting fewer than 200,000 Americans each year. We were not thinking about cancer patients. Yet they have been among those who have benefitted most by the ODA.

What will happen to FOBs will be just as dynamic and unpredictable.

The market was not waiting for the law to pass. Even though a legislatively-created FOB approval process was uncertain, Pfizer, Merck, Novartis, Teva and other major biopharmaceutical companies had already made decisions to be involved. Billions have already been spent or committed by companies before they knew the final FOB ground rules in the US.

More knowledge about the discovery, creation and manufacturing of biologics will be good for innovators, as much as imitators. Some of those biologically-similar products will themselves be innovative. As a result, many will require full approvals rather than being able to take advantage of an abbreviated FOB pathway.

Innovators will benefit from progress on characterizing biologic molecules, new testing methodologies and manufacturing improvements. To take a single example, the FOB market will force new investments in understanding immunogenicity that will benefit the entire industry, as well as patients.

FDA will be remarkably conservative for at least the next 5 years. FDA is ready for FOBs. Passage of the law gives the agency an important new public health mission: assure the safety and efficacy of biological products that will provide better access and greater affordability for life-saving and life-enhancing therapies.

Enthusiasm aside, the FDA is likely to be conservative in its policies and actions. They have not forgotten the problems in managing generic drug applications after Hatch-Waxman. They are fully aware of potentially big consequences in very small differences in biological products. They have lived through contaminated heparin and Genzyme’s manufacturing problems.

FDA will want new safety and efficacy data from all applicants, with an emphasis on immunogenicity testing. Knowledge in these matters will increase rapidly and FDA will loosen up over time. But not soon…and in measured steps.

Steven

Here is an earlier column on the likely dynamics of the FOB marketplace.

The Follow-on Biologics Market

Since the debate began several years ago, the policy and politics of follow-on biologics (FOB) have been driven by assumptions and projections of the anticipated market. There has been a lot of fuzzy thinking about what type of companies will be players and how they will position themselves. Read the rest of this entry »

This entry was posted on Sunday, March 21st, 2010 at 12:43 pm and is filed under FDA and Congress, FDA and Industry, Insight on FDA-regulated Industries, Planning for FDA's Future. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.